December 3, 2024
The overall context of the statements is that Iran is seeking to hold the region hostage via its threats. It likes the attention and enjoys having the ball in its court to attack at a time and place of its choosing.

Iran wants to hold region hostage with ‘retaliation op’

Iran has preferred to keep the retaliation cycle going by continuing to claim it has an open account with Israel and could carry out new attacks

Iran has been discussing retaliating against Israel for airstrikes on its territory in October. Those strikes were themselves retaliation for Iran’s ballistic missile attack on the Jewish state on October 1. Iran has preferred to keep the retaliatory cycle going by claiming it has an open account with Israel and could carry out new attacks.

The Islamic Republic wants to normalize these direct attacks on Israel and keep the region hostage to these incidents. What that means is that Iran also threatens the US and Arab states via its ever-increasing rhetoric.

Iran knows that it keeps the region on edge by claiming it might attack Israel. For instance, the US has sent more aerial assets to the region and has even deployed the THAAD air defense system in Israel. These systems can’t be deployed forever, and all Iran has to do is keep threatening to keep the region on edge.

The regime enjoys being in this position, feeling that it is a position of power. It also knows that reports say Israel neutralized Iranian air defenses in the October strikes.

Iran doesn’t mind these reports because it likely assumed its air defenses could not stop Israel in the first place. Iran knows the limitations of its various systems, such as the S-300 or 3rd Khordad air defense systems.

Iran’s latest claim is that it will “use all material and spiritual facilities to respond” to Israel. This remark came from the new spokesperson for Iran’s Foreign Ministry, Esmail Baghaei, on Monday. His remarks came as the commander of the IRGC slammed Israel and praised Hezbollah fighters in Lebanon.

The overall gist of the comments from Iran’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs is that the regime reserves the right to respond to Israel and that it does this in the context of supporting the Palestinians.

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