July 19, 2024
Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre demanded Trudeau call a snap election after his party won the Toronto-area riding.

Snap election unlikely in Canada as European campaigns send incumbents packing

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau turned heads internationally in 2021 when he called a snap election during the COVID-19 pandemic.It was a gamble to try and secure a Liberal majority at a time when much seemed uncertain, and though the gamble failed, Canadians handed Trudeau a second and slightly stronger minority mandate.Speculation over whether he will send voters back to the polls before the fixed election date of October 2025 has been percolating for more than a year.

But with international examples of snap elections sending incumbents packing, the federal Conservatives maintaining a healthy lead in national polling, and speculation over whether Trudeau ought to resign, it seems less likely the Liberals will want to roll those particular dice again.

In the last week alone, anti-incumbent sentiment has taken down two G7 governments.

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Trudeau can’t fight Poilievre and internal dissent at the same time, say some MPs and political insiders

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