October 4, 2024
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Turnout is expected to be higher this time around as voters know this could be a historic election. Many are determined to get the far right into power, with others desperate to keep them out.

Far-right leads in latest poll ahead of France’s legislative elections

At least 289 seats are needed for a parliamentary majority, and National Rally is predicted to get between 260 and 295 seats

The latest poll suggests that the far right has around 36 percent of the vote as France prepares for the parliamentary elections, the first round of which is on Sunday.

The second round will be held on the following Sunday, 7 July.

If National Rally wins, France will have the first far-right government since it was occupied by the Nazis in the Second World War.

However, President Emmanuel Macron says he won’t step down before his term ends in 2027.

An Ifop Fiducial poll suggests that the National Rally will get about 36%, the Popular Front coalition of centrists, leftists and Greens about 28%, and President Macron’s centre-right party about 20%.

The winning number of seats is 289 out of the 577 seats that make up the parliament.

National Rally are expected to get somewhere between 260 and 295 seats.

The far right’s growing popularity appears to stem from people’s feelings of insecurity and because France’s politics are now deeply polarised it will be hard for a coalition to form in parliament if no party wins outright.

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