October 12, 2024
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This Conservative upset is likely to lead to some anxiety in the Liberal caucus because such a dramatic vote swing could put other supposedly “safe” seats in play for the Conservatives in the next general election.

Conservatives win longtime Liberal stronghold Toronto-St. Paul’s in shock byelection result

Stunning result raises questions about Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s future

Conservative candidate Don Stewart has won the longtime federal Liberal stronghold of Toronto-St. Paul’s, a stunning result that raises questions about Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s future.

Stewart’s victory is shocking because the seat has been held by the Liberals for more than 30 years — even through the party’s past low points, such as the 2011 federal election that returned just 34 Liberal MPs to Parliament.

Before Monday’s vote, a Conservative candidate hadn’t been competitive in Toronto-St. Paul’s since the 1980s. The party hadn’t won a seat in urban Toronto since the 2011 federal election.

Monday’s result was a nail-biter to the very end.

While Liberal candidate Leslie Church was in the lead for most of the evening, the final batch of votes posted around 4:30 a.m. ET delivered the seat to Stewart and a major breakthrough to Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre.

The Liberals’ poor showing in a stronghold like this could prompt some soul-searching for Trudeau, who has seen his popularity plummet as inflation, the cost of living crisis, high home prices and surging immigration levels drive voter discontent.

More…

See Also:

Conservatives score upset win Toronto—St. Paul’s byelection

Even Justin Trudeau’s resignation might not save the Liberal party, new poll suggests

It doesn’t matter how this Toronto byelection shakes out — every scenario is some kind of bad for Justin Trudeau’s Liberals

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