I was walking my kids to school through fog so thick it was like a Stephen King novella when I got a text from a friend. It was just like quite a few texts or messages or calls I’ve been getting since last week. My friend had told me confidently before the weekend that Andrew Scheer’s position as leader of the Conservative party was safe. Now? They’re not so sure.
Again, there’s a lot of that going around. People who a week ago were still fully aboard Team Scheer, or maybe weren’t but still expected him to survive, are changing their minds. Maybe it’s because of some of the criticism of Scheer in the media. Maybe it’s because some of the dissent within the Conservative party is now spilling out into the open.
Or maybe it’s because of the map.
The map in question was first published in Maclean’s two days ago. It’s based on data from 338Canada.com, run by Philippe J. Fournier. 338Canada.com aggregates and analyzes polls; now that the election is over, it’s analyzing the actual results. The map couldn’t be simpler (though the work that went into creating it was doubtless complicated!). It’s colour-coded, and shows, by riding, where the parties did better or worse in 2019 compared to 2015. Green means better, red means worse … the darker the colour, the stronger the trend. And in the essential ridings in and around the City of Toronto (including its 905 suburbs), the Conservative map shows a whole lot of red.
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See Also:
(1) It’s deeper than Andrew Scheer: The root of the Conservative Party’s failure to launch
(2) Did the PPC steal two seats from the Conservatives in BC?
(3) How Canadian provinces could get out from under Trudeau
(4) Carbon tax fight needs to keep going
(5) The green economy ‘magic-wand thinking’ continues
