January 21, 2025

Wagner insurrection creates opening for Ukrainian counteroffensive

‘Mercenary group’s short-lived mutiny dents Russian military morale’

Ukraine‘s highly touted counteroffensive to regain territory seized by Russian invaders had shown little progress in its initial days, but that was before the near-coup in Moscow and the possible removal from the battlefield of thousands of Wagner Group mercenaries, a key backbone of Russian ground operations over the past year.

While Ukrainian troops continue to be slowed by a range of factors, including scores of landmines planted by Russia along the 600-mile front in the country’s east, most military analysts agree the recent upheaval presents an opportunity for Kyiv — if only to seize on the Russian military’s already shaky morale and willingness to fight.

“The best things the Ukrainians have going for themselves is their courageous military and Russia‘s self-inflicted wounds, of which there are many at this point,” said Daniel Hoffman, a former senior CIA officer who served as the agency’s Moscow station chief.

Even prior to the short-lived but intense mutiny by Wagner Group commander Yevgeny Prigozhin, Russian troop “morale already was low,” Mr. Hoffman, who writes a regular opinion column for The Washington Times, said in an interview Tuesday.

“This is now going to be a forever kind of hit to the Russian army,” he said. “The fact that Ukrainian forces are in the fight and killing Russians means Russian troop morale is only going to get worse.”

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See Also:

Prigozhin forced to launch mutiny early after Russian security services rumbled plot

Terrified Vladimir Putin ramps up security and ‘plots deadly revenge purge’ over coup

Entire state of Russia facing ‘collapse’ – MP raises alarm as chaos for Putin ‘not over’

As Wagner troops marched on Moscow, Ukraine made further gains

After Prigozhin’s Mutiny, Russia’s Elites Wait For The Fallout

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