October 11, 2024
Now What?
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This latest escalation is yet another reason the U.S. should not pursue talks with the regime.
This latest escalation is yet another reason the U.S. should not pursue talks with the regime.

Following the Houthi attack on Saturday on Saudi Aramco’s crude-oil processing facility, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo made an obvious and necessary point: Blame Iran.

It is obvious because the Houthi rebels in Yemen lack the drones, missiles or expertise to attack infrastructure inside Saudi Arabia. In 2018, a United Nations panel of experts on Yemen examined the debris of missiles fired from Houthi-controlled areas of Yemen into Saudi Arabia and concluded there was high probability the weapons were shipped in components from Iran. As one Hezbollah commander told two George Washington University analysts in 2016: “Who do you think fires Tochka missiles into Saudi Arabia? It’s not the Houthis in their sandals, it’s us.” Hezbollah, of course, is a subsidiary of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps.

Pompeo’s response is necessary because, historically, Iran pretends to seek peace as it makes war. This is why it sent Foreign Minister Javad Zarif to France last month to plead with the world’s great economic powers as it escalated its proxy war against Saudi Arabia. Iranian diplomacy depends on its adversaries treating the aggression of its proxies as distinct from its statecraft.

What is surprising is that Pompeo’s remarks have already drawn fire from leadingDemocrats. Even Senator Chris Murphy’s more nuanced view (or at least as much nuance as is possible in a tweet) gets the big picture wrong — and it’s worth dwelling on why.

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See Also:

(1) US intel suspects Iranian cruise missiles hit Saudi oil facilities from Iraq base

(2) Drone Attack on Saudi Oil Field Seen as Realizing Worst Fears

(3) Analysis: Iran builds 50 mil barrel oil armada as exports plunge

(4) Iran seizes another tank in Straits of Hormuz for ‘smuggling fuel’ amid escalating tensions over drone strike on Saudi Arabian oil plant

(5) Trump’s warning to Iran raises fears of war — and confusion

(6) Drone strikes in Saudi Arabia may push China to diversify oil supply, analysts say

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